tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post8833836090084371879..comments2024-03-18T22:55:22.060+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: Does Cameron 'get it' yet?James Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger17125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-86779545963469829572015-05-11T22:11:11.060+01:002015-05-11T22:11:11.060+01:00I think 15% is putting it high. Tories only put it...I think 15% is putting it high. Tories only put it on the table to reclaim the UKIP vote. The usual last minute MSM Project Fear will ensue to ensure a 'No' result.<br /><br />But then I fairly sure that UKIP was a bullingdon club invention to attack the immigrants and draw attention away from the wealthy elite as the real benefactors of austerity. <br /><br />SqueuedPerspextiveAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-79201786780193246382015-05-09T22:20:04.532+01:002015-05-09T22:20:04.532+01:00Fairly consistent up to now with ~60% of MSPs SNP ...Fairly consistent up to now with ~60% of MSPs SNP + Green.<br /><br />But aye, that's where attention switches now!<br /><br />First UK-wide poll from survation as a majority for indy in the Scotland subset, although normal caveats apply!Scottish_Skiernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-45766018146389609542015-05-09T21:54:20.530+01:002015-05-09T21:54:20.530+01:00I wonder when the Holyrood polls will come. Perhap...I wonder when the Holyrood polls will come. Perhaps with all the attention that the SNP surge has garnered we'll get some more VI polls than usual?Stoatnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-32488145475732349432015-05-09T21:43:02.129+01:002015-05-09T21:43:02.129+01:00Cameron has at most 1 year to come up with proposa...Cameron has at most 1 year to come up with proposals which will meet Scottish aspirations.<br />Failure to do so will result in the SNP legitimately having another referendum in their manifesto for the Scottish elections based on,either failure to deliver on the vow or no prospect of the real changes Scots want to see within the union.<br />He can bluster all he wants about Scots only having a legal right to have another referendum without his permission but that just won't cut it.<br />As always,democratic mandate trumps legal "rights",unless he wants to send in the troops (again).<br />Westminster no longer has a mandate to run Scotland without our say so.<br />Independence,in my view,would probably look very similar to FFA with the need for common DEFENCE arrangements and a few other things continuing to be shared with England.<br /><br />bringitonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10712089398887269381noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-54880620660831705502015-05-09T21:14:45.649+01:002015-05-09T21:14:45.649+01:00Haven't you heard? It's all the voters'...Haven't you heard? It's all the voters' faults. <a href="http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/yougov-head-voters-are-to-blame-for-forecasting-fiasco-10236324.html" rel="nofollow">At least according to Kellner.</a>Stoatnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-49966105117256045322015-05-09T20:43:28.895+01:002015-05-09T20:43:28.895+01:00Incidentally, what happens to the Kellner Correcti...Incidentally, what happens to the Kellner Correction now?<br /><br />Yougov were the worst pollster for 2015 I believe?<br /><br />I reckon 2015 past vote weighting should be fine going forward. :-)Scottish_Skiernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-31576073211802454602015-05-09T20:37:46.349+01:002015-05-09T20:37:46.349+01:00Latest survation UK subsample!:
66% SNP
14% Con
1...Latest survation UK subsample!:<br /><br />66% SNP<br />14% Con<br />12% Lab<br />3% Lib<br /><br />Sorry, couldn't help it!Scottish_Skiernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-6679727524446294102015-05-09T20:29:45.474+01:002015-05-09T20:29:45.474+01:00Thanks James for the correction. Serves me right ...Thanks James for the correction. Serves me right for not reading everything in detail. Catalonia fits in how?bjsalbanoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-33007008215981688822015-05-09T19:48:47.659+01:002015-05-09T19:48:47.659+01:00Those words will come back to haunt him. The Basq...Those words will come back to haunt him. The Basque Country and Navarre have Full Fiscal Autonomy, and both are devolved governments (Spain is not a federal state).James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-53197375880284450582015-05-09T19:45:57.632+01:002015-05-09T19:45:57.632+01:00I actually think a Tory government is less likely ...I actually think a Tory government is less likely to attempt to block a referendum than a Labour government would have been. Ruth Davidson indicated that she'd had lengthy discussions with Cameron on that topic.<br /><br />Personally, I think there's at least a 15-20% chance of Britain voting to leave the EU. It's unlikely but not fanciful.James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-40923043629338462692015-05-09T19:30:40.993+01:002015-05-09T19:30:40.993+01:00Cameron is touting " Scotland will be 'st...Cameron is touting " Scotland will be 'strongest devolved government in the world'". <br />You only have to look up Devolved Governments on Wiki to find out that this is a sh!tload of t%rds. It is the weasel wording that counts. bjsalbanoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-65603811262593246012015-05-09T19:15:40.018+01:002015-05-09T19:15:40.018+01:00Thanks for providing so many great insights over t...Thanks for providing so many great insights over this period of intense political activity in Scotland. I would be interested to hear if anyone can explain the route now to independence for Scotland, if as seems likely to me the UK votes to stay in Europe and Westminster flatly refuses to allow a second indy referendum. unchillfilterednoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-80048757456077935272015-05-09T18:55:49.848+01:002015-05-09T18:55:49.848+01:00The fact that Devo Max is now being called FFA lea...The fact that Devo Max is now being called FFA leads me to think that FFA is now on the cards.<br />Cameron can't be seen to give those Scots the Devo Max that they wanted, but FFA is much more acceptable.Jutemanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11061671774494923407noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-85834674244922785852015-05-09T18:50:12.592+01:002015-05-09T18:50:12.592+01:00Cameron cannot accept the SNP's anti-austerity...Cameron cannot accept the SNP's anti-austerity mandate, to do so would require the conservative manifesto be consigned to the flames.<br /><br />FFA is probably the Westminster plan.<br /><br />John TylerAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-60665155147173447402015-05-09T18:41:27.215+01:002015-05-09T18:41:27.215+01:00Sorry. I'm a little tired from last night'...Sorry. I'm a little tired from last night's celebrations. I should really have clocked that. You made a very good point. Their expectations only come from their misunderstanding of Scottish people (touch wood). This probably stems from their arrogance. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-55399336438074546892015-05-09T18:38:25.063+01:002015-05-09T18:38:25.063+01:00Of course not. I wasn't talking about my own ...Of course not. I wasn't talking about my own expectation, and that should be clear from the preceding sentences.James Kellynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-82747069432152855852015-05-09T18:32:40.963+01:002015-05-09T18:32:40.963+01:00James, I don't quite get your comment in your ...James, I don't quite get your comment in your article ; "The honest expectation is that Scotland will accept with equanimity what England would never accept in a million years, and will revert to impotently voting Labour as nature intended". <br /><br />Are you expecting people to return back to Labour now? Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com