tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post791515649234147103..comments2024-03-28T09:05:48.832+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: Crossover? Tories take the lead in a Britain-wide poll for the first time in two yearsJames Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-30514260134746919542014-05-12T21:52:58.035+01:002014-05-12T21:52:58.035+01:00Interesting that the Conservatives haven't had...Interesting that the Conservatives haven't had a lead since March 2012, then two polls showing a lead appear on the same day! Calumhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18298701198248993553noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-68530018583483350812014-05-12T19:44:01.394+01:002014-05-12T19:44:01.394+01:00Sorry to 'hog' you comments thread ;) but ...Sorry to 'hog' you comments thread ;) but I suspect you will update your article with this anyway. <br /><br />A few tweets tell the story.<br /><br /> <i>Iain Docherty @iaindocherty 1m<br /><br />If that ICM poll is right (usual caveats about sampling error) and @UKLabour come *3rd* in Euros, what a disaster for them and @UK_Together<br /><br /> Support for Labour drops six points as Tories take lead in latest ICM...<br /><br />Labour support falls to 31%, Conservatives rise one point to 33%, Lib Dems are up one on 13% and Ukip rises four to 15%</i> <br /><br />Let's not leave calamity Clegg and the poor old lib dems out either.<br /><br /><i>Matthew Butcher @matthew1butcher 3m<br /><br />Latest ICM poll for Euros puts @TheGreenParty clearly ahead of the Lib Dems with 10% of vote:<br /><br />UK - ICM/Guardian #EP2014 poll:<br />CON 27% UKIP 26% LAB 24% GRN 10% LDEM 7%</i> <br /><br />Golly! As one of Clegg's amusing ostrich faction might say.Mick Porknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-27914072319118207542014-05-12T19:31:44.085+01:002014-05-12T19:31:44.085+01:00Oops! ;)
There are more pandas than scottish tory...Oops! ;)<br /><br />There are more pandas than <i>scottish</i> tory MPs for a <b>reason.</b>Mick Porknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-48566931180964070072014-05-12T19:29:44.567+01:002014-05-12T19:29:44.567+01:00You will not be surprised to learn that the PB tor...You will not be surprised to learn that the PB tory simpletons are running about in delerium at Ashcroft's poll. Equally 'shocking' is that the most petty and repulsive PB tories seemed furious with your fantastic success James.<br /><br />When the cowardly tory moderators weren't banning me for no reason, I was pointing out for months on PB that there would be a repeat of last May's movements and trends for this May. And so it has indeed come to pass. Kippers surging with labour getting hit hard. Ashcroft is just one poll so it's the trend which matters. <br /><br />http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/96/UK_opinion_polling_2010-2015.png<br /><br />Where I differ with you is the kipper effect. Again I go with what happened last May. So apart from some Eurosceptic tories running about like headless chickens for a time the most likely consequence is that kipper vote is going back down fairly quickly just like last year. If it's matched by another tory rise then little Ed and Labour are going to be in deep, <i>deep</i> trouble. <br /><br />Make no mistake, the Cameroons won't want to talk about Europe or immigration again in a hurry. Even they can read the polling and know what happens when the kippers are starved of publicity when the bandwagon moves very quickly on from the EU elections.<br /><br />The Yes campaign was never predicated on the tories leading and has closed the polling gap inexorably without it. That said, there is no clearer signal of the consequences of Westmisnter business as usual than the tories beating Labour in the polls. It will of course concentrate minds in scotland if it continues. <br /><br />There are more pandas than tory MPs for a <b>reason.</b>Mick Porknoreply@blogger.com