tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post7710697923871209016..comments2024-03-29T05:53:21.060+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: Kalamity Kez in crisis after unsparing YouGov poll confirms Scottish Labour's existence is now pointlessJames Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger30125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-5426396646533379222016-04-15T22:06:47.438+01:002016-04-15T22:06:47.438+01:00Nat si Idiot without crayon dribbles verbal shoite...Nat si Idiot without crayon dribbles verbal shoite. Yawn.Glasgow Working Class 2noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-2124746541721307762016-04-15T19:21:43.918+01:002016-04-15T19:21:43.918+01:00Crayonista strikes again...Crayonista strikes again...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-80821148499970948622016-04-15T19:02:40.434+01:002016-04-15T19:02:40.434+01:00The Scots are clearly intelligent as they voted ag...The Scots are clearly intelligent as they voted against Nat si ism. To say we have moral integrity more than others is rather patronising. And what do you mean by moral?Glasgow Working Class 2noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-55652550105245364582016-04-15T09:21:08.193+01:002016-04-15T09:21:08.193+01:00I believe the Scots as a nation can hold their hea...I believe the Scots as a nation can hold their heads high. Which is more than can be said for most of the others in the world. Their intelligence, moral integrity and social awareness, must be the envy of the rest of the world, ( I am sure their are other nations, but they do not spring to mind).Colinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07522279136271460732noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-86611152861697337232016-04-15T06:31:43.261+01:002016-04-15T06:31:43.261+01:00I try not to give too much credence to seat predic...I try not to give too much credence to seat predictors - especially not for the list - but it's not looking good for Wullie in Mid Scotland and Fife.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-47427293741619386892016-04-15T04:59:29.657+01:002016-04-15T04:59:29.657+01:00Good to see Porridge Head GWC2 not derailing the t...Good to see Porridge Head GWC2 not derailing the thread and the Unionists facing a fair old gubbing come Holyrood.<br /><br />Splendid stuff.<br /><br />Adieu La Dug and bring on Sarwar as Murphy Mk2 in the final seppuku head-chop assisted?<br /><br />La Tankie de-treaded and off to constituency nomination carpet-bagging in her beloved Angleterre (rump Britannia)?<br /><br />Oor Wullie limp and even more flaccidly irrelevant and possibly oot on his erse?<br /><br />Intriguing times and stuff.<br /><br />"Bring it on" to quote another unlamented Yoonionista wannabe colonial governor since vanquished in the footsteps of Pontius Pilate.Davidhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02975588480290026016noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-69425972532764656942016-04-13T10:08:51.993+01:002016-04-13T10:08:51.993+01:00I suppose Glasgow working class voluntarily pays f...I suppose Glasgow working class voluntarily pays for his prescriptions and all the other charges the SNP have abolished in order to keep in step with his southern bros.<br />Jackinanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18263067661007430332noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-73769570058153807022016-04-13T05:33:29.104+01:002016-04-13T05:33:29.104+01:00Aren't we cranky. Did you skip your nap?Aren't we cranky. Did you skip your nap?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-54020047343252960612016-04-12T21:20:31.232+01:002016-04-12T21:20:31.232+01:00And yet she is an erse. Just shows what propoganda...And yet she is an erse. Just shows what propoganda does. The working class are no better off since the Nat sis came to power.Glasgow Working Class 2noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-15138791630069550132016-04-12T20:52:40.716+01:002016-04-12T20:52:40.716+01:00No, there aren't any subsamples like that. Ba...No, there aren't any subsamples like that. Basically for a voting intention poll, you want to keep the weighting categories simple - everyone knows where they were born.James Kellynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-62192809206120920362016-04-12T20:48:56.810+01:002016-04-12T20:48:56.810+01:00Are there any subsamples that look at those born o...Are there any subsamples that look at those born outside of Scotland, but lived majority of life here, eg attended primary and secondary school here and do they differ from those born in Scotland in how they vote?<br /><br />I ask this as to all intents people in that category would have went through similar experiences to those born in Scotland.Undeadshaunnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-69785363378787495412016-04-12T19:54:39.368+01:002016-04-12T19:54:39.368+01:00That's not actually true. Yes, "born out...That's not actually true. Yes, "born outside Scotland" is a very broad category, but we know that they vote somewhat differently from Scottish-born people, so if there are too many of them in the sample it distorts the headline results. But it's not an issue in YouGov poll anymore, because there's weighting by country of birth.James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11480872609776312502noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-32484996838402365612016-04-12T19:41:25.245+01:002016-04-12T19:41:25.245+01:00Born in ruk is all encompassing, it can include th...Born in ruk is all encompassing, it can include those born outside Scotland, but went to primary and secondary school here.<br /><br />Similar with born outside the UK, children of Scottish servicemen would fall into both of these categories.<br /><br /><br />And they are as likely or not as likely to vote as those born in Scotland. <br />Where you live, e.g. Scotland and what your beliefs and sense of fairness are is far more relevant to how you will vote or whether you'll vote.Undeadshaunnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-58285184603166704632016-04-12T17:28:51.328+01:002016-04-12T17:28:51.328+01:00Anas Sarwar will be the next branch manager. Did y...Anas Sarwar will be the next branch manager. Did you miss the parachute?Luiginoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-67246075216715107142016-04-12T17:27:17.627+01:002016-04-12T17:27:17.627+01:00Are people born in rUK more or less likely to turn...Are people born in rUK more or less likely to turn out and vote than people born in Scotland? Any data on the differential voting behaviour of these two groups?Luiginoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-23576202405905766362016-04-12T17:03:14.842+01:002016-04-12T17:03:14.842+01:00What's the percentage changes?What's the percentage changes? Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-21471477426862626412016-04-12T16:55:20.298+01:002016-04-12T16:55:20.298+01:00I would have thrown caution to the wind and gone f...I would have thrown caution to the wind and gone for it.But that's just the kind of me.Where can we find the tables? I'd like to see the voting intentions by age.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-91507859142167871292016-04-12T16:13:09.102+01:002016-04-12T16:13:09.102+01:00Steady as she goes.
SNP x 2Steady as she goes.<br /><br />SNP x 2Dan Huilnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-58320167699728135602016-04-12T15:47:50.742+01:002016-04-12T15:47:50.742+01:00Plaid Cymru have edged the Tories into third place...Plaid Cymru have edged the Tories into third place in the latest Welsh poll (Google Click on Wales). Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06472154929503016247noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-23832037577104495142016-04-12T15:47:33.641+01:002016-04-12T15:47:33.641+01:00Plaid Cymru have edged the Tories into third place...Plaid Cymru have edged the Tories into third place in the latest Welsh poll (Google Click on Wales). Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06472154929503016247noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-24572232198760274542016-04-12T14:33:28.793+01:002016-04-12T14:33:28.793+01:00If Labour is hammered, who is the next likely lead...If Labour is hammered, who is the next likely leader? And would they take a different approach on the constitution?<br /><br />I just can't see their perception as a branch office party changing in the future.<br /><br />Proposing federalism might change their luck, but again that is out of the hands of the Scottish branch.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-1048847658023733402016-04-12T14:17:36.855+01:002016-04-12T14:17:36.855+01:00Cutbot do say that they are using "the best f...Cutbot do say that they are using "the best finger-in-the-air methodology" to estimate Green support in constituencies! It's an interesting approach, but there just isn't the data to know which way the wind is blowing. :-)oldnathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14472618583129398722noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-51270125653836604412016-04-12T14:06:05.962+01:002016-04-12T14:06:05.962+01:00They also put the greens in second place to SNP in...They also put the greens in second place to SNP in two constituencies, on quite large swings. I wonder if the model is putting all their national constituency vote into only the places that they're standing?oldchaphttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12383226724085667887noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-11216318265089157422016-04-12T13:47:04.282+01:002016-04-12T13:47:04.282+01:00YouGov now weight to reduce the effect of too many...YouGov now weight to reduce the effect of too many being born in rUK.<br />Born in Sco - weighted up from 758 to 820<br />Born outside UK - weighted up from 56 to 91<br />Born in r UK - weighted down from 198 to 101oldnathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14472618583129398722noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-67566592119253446692016-04-12T13:25:49.778+01:002016-04-12T13:25:49.778+01:00Don't know if you have used the new Seat Predi...Don't know if you have used the new Seat Predictor from Cutbot:<br />http://vote.cutbot.net/forecast/bd4a7792<br />Gives quite a different result (for labour and tory anyway) compared to Scotland Votes, and also gives UKIP one.<br />Breaks down their prediction seat by seat.Malnoreply@blogger.com