tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post6637360524388859981..comments2024-03-29T00:28:42.289+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: SNP and Plaid Cymru overtake the Liberal Democrats across Britain in dizzying new Ipsos-Mori pollJames Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-13992712015518885862015-02-12T20:49:44.792+00:002015-02-12T20:49:44.792+00:00When Jim Murphy was first elected as Leader, polls...When Jim Murphy was first elected as Leader, polls were showing that more people said they were less likely to vote Labour as a result as JM being leader, than would be more likely to.<br /><br />So for Jim to hold on to what Labour already has, is in itself a triumph for lies and misinformation from Labour/MSM.<br /><br />How long can they keep it up though, before the electorate get heartily sick of Labours lies?<br /><br />I stick to my own belief that Labour in Scotland's hard core support is about 13% of the electorate and of these the over 60's are by far the largest group who support /Trust them .<br /><br />So there's still about 13% of Labours vote that will be very soft, but not yet convinced that the SNP or other Nationalist supporting parties, would make any real difference.<br /><br />The constant scare stories are designed to plant seeds of doubt, into the minds of these people.<br /><br />How long can Labour/MSM keep deceiving these people?<br /><br />Tick Tock Labour, Tick Tock!!!Patrick Rodennoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-28289803583029805982015-02-12T19:45:08.080+00:002015-02-12T19:45:08.080+00:00And to quote pollsters, 'the 1% is within the ...And to quote pollsters, 'the 1% is within the margin of error'.Marcianoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-18882079339245925872015-02-12T18:53:27.438+00:002015-02-12T18:53:27.438+00:00I've been keeping a Poll of Polls myself. When...I've been keeping a Poll of Polls myself. When Jim Murphy was elected it was...<br /><br />SNP 43.7<br />LAB 25.8<br />SNP lead of 17.9<br /><br />Now I have it as...<br /><br />SNP 42.6 (-1.1)<br />LAB 26.7 (0.9)<br />SNP lead of 15.9<br /><br />So I have it as 1% swing in 3 months. Good work Jim.<br /><br />Boabnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-15176581502759329392015-02-12T18:48:20.545+00:002015-02-12T18:48:20.545+00:00I've never shifted from the view that the UKIP...I've never shifted from the view that the UKIP vote will fade away (probably to 8-10%) come polling day, but, I have to say I think Ipsos Mori are too irregular and too different in methodology to take their results seriously, in comparison at least, to others.Boabnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-78211459606870496982015-02-12T17:16:23.553+00:002015-02-12T17:16:23.553+00:00Given all Murphy's silly stunts, and complete ...Given all Murphy's silly stunts, and complete lack of substance then that it no wonder.muttley79noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-57258973747768354802015-02-12T16:39:19.056+00:002015-02-12T16:39:19.056+00:00The only trend I can discern from the previous 3 m...The only trend I can discern from the previous 3 months of SGPPoP is that the LIb Dems are likely to be extinguished. They are on course to poll less votes that either UKIP or the Greens.<br /><br />What I think is also remarkable is how little impact Jim Murphy has had on polling over the past 3 months. No bounce, no upward trend, nothing, zilch, nada. It's like he doesn't register in voters minds. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-61761298664263007912015-02-12T14:53:01.648+00:002015-02-12T14:53:01.648+00:00YesYesoldnatnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-28705357104535467152015-02-12T14:37:57.149+00:002015-02-12T14:37:57.149+00:00I take that CTV means certain to vote? I take that CTV means certain to vote? Marcianoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-19477331578862640092015-02-12T14:34:33.081+00:002015-02-12T14:34:33.081+00:00With only 28 CTV respondents from Wales, I'm n...With only 28 CTV respondents from Wales, I'm not suggesting these figures are representative of anything! But for those who like really small samples -<br /><br />Lab 33% : Con 21% : Plaid 18% : LD 7% : Grn 7% : UKIP 7%oldnatnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-78858356406570689822015-02-12T13:39:33.937+00:002015-02-12T13:39:33.937+00:00Difficult to compare 2010 with 2015 as Scotland di...Difficult to compare 2010 with 2015 as Scotland did not have a separate column in 2010 MORI polls. Those in 2010 that were supporting the SNP were only roughly half of the amount in 2015.Marcianoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-17247183476877694852015-02-12T13:11:17.609+00:002015-02-12T13:11:17.609+00:00So the SNP seem to be holding up, but it is otherw...So the SNP seem to be holding up, but it is otherwise emerging as a two horse race as voters abandon third parties, whether LD, Greens, UKIP. devorgillahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11885637866018093933noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-41825242767352855452015-02-12T12:56:08.310+00:002015-02-12T12:56:08.310+00:00https://www.ipsos-mori.com/Assets/Docs/Publication...https://www.ipsos-mori.com/Assets/Docs/Publications/feb2015web_VI_THR_FINAL.pdf<br /><br />Pretty small sub-sample, but in line with their last Scotland poll.Jamesnoreply@blogger.com