tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post5702126024431049477..comments2024-03-18T22:55:22.060+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning...James Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger37125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-90646695916868713832017-12-16T11:42:40.162+00:002017-12-16T11:42:40.162+00:00Very informative post for us, thanks for sharing.
...Very informative post for us, thanks for sharing.<br />Keep updating us.<br /><br />Nice post thanks for sharing.<br /><br /><a href="https://www.kiwibox.com/xpertadvisor/mypage/" rel="nofollow">Opera Customer Support</a>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-18443321222809826942017-08-04T05:15:11.196+01:002017-08-04T05:15:11.196+01:00Stench of this.Stench of this.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-82175049293379719862017-08-04T05:14:29.328+01:002017-08-04T05:14:29.328+01:00State of this.State of this.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-64787615610971781492017-08-04T05:12:05.728+01:002017-08-04T05:12:05.728+01:00Seek professional help. Immediately.Seek professional help. Immediately.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-40922983491346291102017-08-03T19:19:52.639+01:002017-08-03T19:19:52.639+01:00Disenchanted is probably a better description. You...Disenchanted is probably a better description. You nat sis do not seem to be going anywhere except the dustbin of history. You have no strategy and are lost for progressive policies. The voter sees you carrying on with the old Tory policies and that is why the Tank Commander was successful.GWC2noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-63171019109125815382017-08-03T17:33:42.898+01:002017-08-03T17:33:42.898+01:00Knickerless just says what her publicly funded adv...Knickerless just says what her publicly funded advisers tell her...Close down the Jock parliament and save millions for the public services...The devolded institutions are a gravy train.GWC2noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-4685773119632542032017-08-03T15:45:23.832+01:002017-08-03T15:45:23.832+01:00What squabbling in particular are you referring to...What squabbling in particular are you referring to? Allan Moore isn't a 'friend' in political terms (as far as I'm aware). James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-64876300759278617392017-08-03T15:42:06.449+01:002017-08-03T15:42:06.449+01:00it seems to me that the SNP has lost the voters to...it seems to me that the SNP has lost the voters to boredom/apathy rather than anything else. 6-7k voters just not bothering to turn up plus some inevitable witherers swung seats.<br /><br />The indy surge in engagement needs to be revitalised.<br /><br />This squabbling amongst 'friends' doesn't help.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-40685951721110807792017-08-03T15:37:28.972+01:002017-08-03T15:37:28.972+01:00Any word on a poll for the big question?
Surely i...Any word on a poll for the big question?<br /><br />Surely it's of interest during these Brexit negotiations. I think there should be prominent statements from Nicola after every negotiation. If it's happening i've not heard it. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-86566936031553109392017-08-03T12:51:02.139+01:002017-08-03T12:51:02.139+01:00Resident Protoctista.Resident Protoctista.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-86243515780706756322017-08-03T12:32:35.277+01:002017-08-03T12:32:35.277+01:00So there are more than one of you fascist English ...So there are more than one of you fascist English haters! Byee knob.GWC2noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-60556643454327526622017-08-03T12:03:35.384+01:002017-08-03T12:03:35.384+01:00We're discussing your id, not my ego. Goodbye....We're discussing your id, not my ego. Goodbye.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-43960242141731739052017-08-03T10:17:34.125+01:002017-08-03T10:17:34.125+01:00Does your hat fit your ego!Does your hat fit your ego!GWC2noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-53478353555476780002017-08-03T04:23:23.282+01:002017-08-03T04:23:23.282+01:00Yep. Sadly, it treats this place as part of its pr...Yep. Sadly, it treats this place as part of its primal scream therapy...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-34829224009652241392017-08-03T02:00:16.170+01:002017-08-03T02:00:16.170+01:00I see there is a bigot crawled out from under his ...I see there is a bigot crawled out from under his stone with the brain of a gnat.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14484552561595445003noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-69691887684558367032017-08-03T01:02:22.602+01:002017-08-03T01:02:22.602+01:00Better together, WATP FTP GSTQ.Better together, WATP FTP GSTQ.GWC2noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-66990573016765288812017-08-02T21:17:38.744+01:002017-08-02T21:17:38.744+01:00We've had a few asinine articles recently and ...We've had a few asinine articles recently and this one from Mr Moore, whom I've never heard of, is another time-wasting addition. They all share the same lack of intellectual logic and rigour and are reminiscent of the kind of anti-intellectual gibberish written in much of the British Nationalist press where they pretend to analyse by using big words but are really just propagandising against things they don't like and cannot beat by reasoned argument.<br /><br />All this nonsense about pins and angels misses one profound point: if we don't have an SNP majority in Holyrood, or an SNP + other independence supporting MSP's majority then we are not going to get Independence. And like it or not, only the SNP are capable of getting the numbers.<br /><br />The SNP have been here for years, mostly struggling to stay alive, but have stayed the course. And, yes, the indy movement is more than the SNP. But some of these johnny-come-latelies seem a fickle bunch and appear to have other priorities.<br /><br />I want Independence, and only by voting SNP can I be sure that I'm voting for a party for whom Independence is their top priority.Dornaidhhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07997125006131324086noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-55593699866851508072017-08-02T12:24:32.243+01:002017-08-02T12:24:32.243+01:00Sorry, but I don't see what tactical voting in...Sorry, but I don't see what tactical voting in constituencies has got to do with anything. Nobody ever disputed that tactical voting in constituencies works, and indeed works very well. If you look back through the archives of this blog, you'll find me making that point several times in the run-up to the Holyrood election. <br />There's a history of highly effective constituency tactical voting in Scotland going back decades - 1987 and 1997 being obvious examples.James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-17602568036067544892017-08-02T06:26:23.032+01:002017-08-02T06:26:23.032+01:00At the time I strongly agreed with you.
In retros...At the time I strongly agreed with you.<br /><br />In retrospect I have serious doubts.<br /><br />I can only really speak to mid-scotland and fife which is the area I campaigned in and analysed the data after the fact.<br /><br />Your case was predicated on an assumption that tactical voting could only really shift a small, say 3%, slice of the electorate.<br /><br />I don't think the results bear that out. We saw massive tactical voting here, enough to see Willie Rennie get a constituency seat and then four sodding Tories get elected from the list. I can't remember off the top of my head but as much as 40% of the libdem/tory vote was tactical.<br /><br />If we had done the same the greens would certainly have gotten at least one more seat.<br /><br />Trouble is that the greens consistantly prove themselves to be terrible allies. We need a single issue Yes party to vote for on the list. If SIC put up candidates that promised to vote for a referendum and abstain everywhere else they might get 20+ seats and completely skew the balance of power.<br /><br />Which is essentially what happened with the Tories last year.... Chris Hanlonnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-4720355726723257412017-08-02T00:51:53.658+01:002017-08-02T00:51:53.658+01:00"...Alan Moore knows the score..."
(sin..."...Alan Moore knows the score..."<br /><br />(sings) can u dig it...<br /><br />D.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-87965873178299221242017-08-02T00:38:40.019+01:002017-08-02T00:38:40.019+01:00I voted UKIP and leave , better together. WATP FTP...I voted UKIP and leave , better together. WATP FTP GSTQGWC2noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-10601049682045234012017-08-01T23:37:57.408+01:002017-08-01T23:37:57.408+01:00Almost all of what you've just said is complet...Almost all of what you've just said is complete gibberish. Go and waste somebody else's time.James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-37123929880981367562017-08-01T23:30:28.707+01:002017-08-01T23:30:28.707+01:00SWP was a typo. The anonymity of these posts is ir...SWP was a typo. The anonymity of these posts is irrelevant and an ad hominem from a person who has lost the argument and is not willing to admit it. There is a formula, historical polls, region specific trends and it was clear that with the exception of South (tories on constituencies) and Highland (lib dems on constituencies), green on list was far more likely to produce a Yes candidate for reasons of the divisor and the likely insufficient list vote of the SNP. And so it unsurprisingly proved with over 3 quarters of a million wasted list votes in these 6 regions with a return of zero list seats. <br /><br />the 60% is certainly not ridiculous at all. It gives you a divisor of 6. when you allocate 7 list seats using a reasonable distribution of votes you find that around 6 gives you the last seat. And it's virtually always above 5 which corresponds to 50% in regions that SNP win all constituency seats in. And SNP were never winning 50% of the vote. So, it's pretty phuqin obviously wasted. PfYnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-17671292231999246672017-08-01T23:17:51.695+01:002017-08-01T23:17:51.695+01:00"that report was a joke."
Forgive me if...<i>"that report was a joke."</i><br /><br />Forgive me if I pay rather more heed to Professor John Curtice than to a random anonymous commenter.<br /><br /><i>"it would've taken a huge swing to the SWP from green to make that happen"</i><br /><br />Where does the Socialist Workers' Party come into it?<br /><br />Try investing in a calculator, by the way - your 60%+ claim is completely ridiculous.James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-46222766928312732202017-08-01T23:05:18.520+01:002017-08-01T23:05:18.520+01:00that report was a joke. what two seats do you thin...that report was a joke. what two seats do you think the SNP lost? it would've taken a huge swing to the SWP from green to make that happen, a totally unrealistic swing that would never have happened, given that green voters had already "loaned" their vote to SNP already on the constituency. given the denominator includes seats already won plus 1 it's fairly obvious that if you have 9 constituency seats in a region you will have a ten times smaller coefficient than a party with no seats in that region. In such an instance SNP would have needed close to 60% and above on the list to get a list seat. No poll was ever predicting that. Green was the smart choice where SNP were likely to win all constituencies or all bar 1 without question. Pfynoreply@blogger.com