tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post463953081774493754..comments2024-03-28T20:36:31.291+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: Pro-independence campaign close the gap to just 7% in dramatic poll from "gold standard" ICMJames Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-8582344556305884192014-06-15T18:33:38.673+01:002014-06-15T18:33:38.673+01:00James : The headline figures and the figures exclu...James : The headline figures and the figures excluding Don't Knows are calculated in the same way - from the raw data. If you "converted" the headline numbers in the ICM poll, you'd actually end up with Yes 46%, No 54%. <br /><br />I'd take the 70/30 thing with a pinch of salt, but if it's true it refers to previous undecideds who have now been converted, not to current undecideds.<br /><br />Anon : It's only a few months since Fitalass was predicting a Yes vote of between 20% and 30% - I do hope she paid a visit to her local bookies!James Kellynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-88339960509534430662014-06-15T13:21:38.423+01:002014-06-15T13:21:38.423+01:00No need for the "vote No to exterminate Scotl... No need for the "vote No to exterminate Scotland" campaign to panic. <br /> Christina D aka Fitalass over on Political Racism says that The SNP have failed to convince the young, old and women to vote Yes. <br /><br /> I don't know why we're even bothering since it's such a forgone conclusion.<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-35943675762654658982014-06-15T11:49:33.684+01:002014-06-15T11:49:33.684+01:00James
Could you explain the conversions from Y,N,U...James<br />Could you explain the conversions from Y,N,U, to Y,N excluding U?<br />Is it just a pro rata conversion of the Y,Ns, 50/50, or is it from data in the actual polls?<br /><br />And I have read elsehwere that Us r currently swinging 70% Y 30% N which if correct would change the Y/N excluding U quite dramaticallyjames Colemannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-22851684977632328692014-06-15T10:33:55.390+01:002014-06-15T10:33:55.390+01:00Apparently that panelbase, as per survation, point...Apparently that panelbase, as per survation, points towards a majority for Yes at the prospect of more Tory rule. Interestingly, Ed Miliband in white knight garb on a devo nano horse doesn't do much better at 50Y/50N.<br /><br />https://fbcdn-sphotos-f-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xfp1/t1.0-9/p526x296/10371646_814576255219953_3072985032558993487_n.pngScottish_Skiernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-85150822020981173662014-06-15T04:00:08.800+01:002014-06-15T04:00:08.800+01:00Steve : YouGov seem to do a lot of internal pollin...Steve : YouGov seem to do a lot of internal polling for the No campaign, but I doubt if they would have bothered with the populist question about football unless this one was intended for publication. The fieldwork will be more up to date than ICM or Panelbase, so if it does see the light of day it'll be the first proper sign of whether the Lally/Rowling nonsense has had any impact.James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-25950299273095118052014-06-15T03:50:16.471+01:002014-06-15T03:50:16.471+01:00There may be a YouGov poll coming out soon (unless...There may be a YouGov poll coming out soon (unless it already has & I missed it). As well as the indyref question asked for things like country of birth, and most intriguenly who you wanted to win the World Cup. Possibly that's the question to provide the headlines?Steve Bnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-73171670046659758692014-06-15T01:38:39.998+01:002014-06-15T01:38:39.998+01:00Excellent post Marcia.
As James already knows (he...Excellent post Marcia.<br /><br />As James already knows (he's probably bored of hearing it from me by now, LOL) if there is <b>ONE</b> thing I have stressed repeatedly and at length again and again, here and indeed on other sites for <i>years</i>, it is that the Independence Referendum will quite obviously boil down to <b>TRUST.</b><br /><br />And when it comes to trust the westminster parties are well and truly f***ed. Mick Porknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-70847985311454416162014-06-15T00:48:15.938+01:002014-06-15T00:48:15.938+01:00James,
I have posted this on WoS.
http://news.st...James,<br /><br />I have posted this on WoS.<br /><br />http://news.stv.tv/politics/279152-holyrood-three-times-as-trusted-as-westminster-poll-reveals/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter<br /><br />Three times as many people trust Holyrood to make decisions in the interests of Scotland as opposed to politicians at Westminster, a poll has revealed.<br /><br />When asked who they trusted most to make decisions in Scotland's best interests, 52% of Scots said Holyrood, while 17.3% said Westminster, according to the study by Survation.<br /><br />When the 30.7% who said they did not know were excluded, 75% trusted Holyrood more while 25% preferred Westminster.<br /><br />A total of 1004 people were questioned for the research, which was commissioned by the Better Nation political blog in partnership with the Daily Record and Dundee University's 5 Million Questions referendum project.<br /><br />Amongst those who voted for the SNP in the 2011 Scottish Parliament election, 82.3% said they trusted Holyrood more to make decisions in the best interests of Scotland.<br /><br />More than half (51.9%) of Labour supporters also preferred the Edinburgh parliament over that in London.<br /><br />Almost three-fifths (57.9%) of those who backed the Tories in 2011 said they trusted Westminster more to make decisions in Scotland's best interests.<br />Marcianoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-19254560962230834302014-06-15T00:26:06.490+01:002014-06-15T00:26:06.490+01:00Great news! We're edging our way to victory!
...Great news! We're edging our way to victory!<br /><br />And thanks for the plug, James!<br /><br />People can find out more about us at <a href="http://www.generationyes.org" rel="nofollow">our website</a> - sign up yer young 'uns!<br /><br />- GYAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-60296785851355840052014-06-15T00:24:04.589+01:002014-06-15T00:24:04.589+01:00This comment has been removed by the author.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com