tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post4010432070847745534..comments2024-03-28T22:50:29.779+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: Poll of Polls : the long-term trend towards Yes - now in graphical form!James Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-10339910057644506362014-02-25T19:32:04.519+00:002014-02-25T19:32:04.519+00:00The thing about the 'trend' is that there&...The thing about the 'trend' is that there's no reason why it should continue at the same rate. It might speed up, slow down, reverse. There's no 'physics' behind the trend, it's just the change in peoples' opinion so far.<br /><br />So, no need to be dismayed at the extrapolation to September 2015.commentorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10321173541321374705noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-55574923720324278862014-02-25T19:32:03.129+00:002014-02-25T19:32:03.129+00:00The thing about the 'trend' is that there&...The thing about the 'trend' is that there's no reason why it should continue at the same rate. It might speed up, slow down, reverse. There's no 'physics' behind the trend, it's just the change in peoples' opinion so far.<br /><br />So, no need to be dismayed at the extrapolation to September 2015.commentorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10321173541321374705noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-52872946623688493402014-02-25T18:57:22.701+00:002014-02-25T18:57:22.701+00:00Thanks, Sandy - I've replaced the image.Thanks, Sandy - I've replaced the image.James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-41430793970414597952014-02-25T18:43:16.031+00:002014-02-25T18:43:16.031+00:00Who'd have guessed that Excel would do silly t...Who'd have guessed that Excel would do silly things with the axis? I've fixed it now - should be on the same link.Sandy Brownleenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-56168885469454246392014-02-25T15:48:15.215+00:002014-02-25T15:48:15.215+00:00I should also add, of course, that we shouldn'...I should also add, of course, that we shouldn't exclude the possibility that the Poll of Polls is underestimating the Yes position anyway. YouGov and Ipsos-Mori are increasingly out of line with "the norm", and yet they're still being factored into the figures.James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-9968098326731826792014-02-25T15:46:58.992+00:002014-02-25T15:46:58.992+00:00Graph needs a minor adjustment on the bottom scale...Graph needs a minor adjustment on the bottom scale to correct the timeline. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-20204813535961498682014-02-25T15:32:03.392+00:002014-02-25T15:32:03.392+00:00You're correct that there needs to be an accel...You're correct that there needs to be an acceleration in the trend, but not a huge one. If it does happen, the most likely time for it is after the end of the May, which is when the broadcasting guidelines kick in and we should start to see more neutral coverage.James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-32236916520977578542014-02-25T15:28:21.121+00:002014-02-25T15:28:21.121+00:00So the crossover is around September 2015
UghSo the crossover is around September 2015<br /><br />UghAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16613242334330613213noreply@blogger.com