Sunday, February 12, 2017

Labour nearly slump to single figures in latest Scottish subsample from ComRes

I wouldn't normally post about an individual Scottish subsample from a Britain-wide poll (although I used to do that circa 2009), but it's probably worth making an exception for one from ComRes that Stuart Dickson has alerted me to.  It has Scottish Labour down to just 10% of the vote.  Obviously that's an underestimate caused by the inherent unreliability of subsamples, but I would imagine it's almost certainly an all-time low.

SNP 56%
Conservatives 22%
Labour 10%
Liberal Democrats 7%
UKIP 4%
Greens 2%

More realistically, Labour are in the mid-to-high teens.  But it's important to recognise that their position has significantly worsened even since the shock of being overtaken in terms of seats by the Tories at last May's Holyrood election.  They actually outpolled the Tories on the constituency ballot in that election - a feat that would be almost unthinkable now, a mere nine months later.  For better or for worse (and there are obvious reasons for thinking it may be bad for the forces of unionism), the Tories have well and truly cemented their status as the main opposition to the SNP.

Elsewhere in the poll, there is the customary sharp divergence between Scottish and British public opinion on a number of topics.  Inexplicably, Theresa May is still enjoying something of a honeymoon period south of the border, and has a +9 net satisfaction rating across Britain as a whole.  In Scotland she has a negative rating of -13.  As you'd expect after the extraordinary revelations that he tried to win a knighthood by making an anti-independence statement in 2014, David Beckham is now considerably less popular in Scotland (+2) than across Britain (+14).

Astonishingly, though, a plurality in both Britain and Scotland believe in the fairy-tale that the British economy will perform more strongly after Article 50 is triggered.  Maybe they think it will put an end to a period of uncertainty - if so, they're self-evidently wrong, but it's the only way I can make much sense of those figures.

*  *  *

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69 comments:

  1. Jings crivvens help ma boab. How times have changed.

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  2. It would take a heart of stone not to laugh.

    Meanwhile it's worth pondering that that revolting slimebag Piers M spoke out aginst the Iraq War while the fragrant JK Spanner was silent. Probably for the same reason she supports the Israeli slaughter of Palestinian children. fear of losing her american market.

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  3. 58% pro Indy,43% anti Indy.
    Lab on less than half of Tory.
    I wonder how long it will be before this is replicated in a full scale Scottish poll.

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  4. Replies
    1. Glasgow Working Class 2February 12, 2017 at 10:27 PM

      Ive got faith in Kezia she has never let us down

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    2. (laughs uncontrollably)

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  5. Glasgow Working Class 2February 12, 2017 at 12:06 PM

    Lol at the Nat sis still believing polls. You fash are going to fill yer breeks when Scotland turns into a sea of red in May.

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    1. Glasgow Working Class 2.February 12, 2017 at 12:25 PM

      I'm needing psychiatric help as my last shink got sectioned after a couple of sessions. Any offers?

      Delete
  6. Glasgow Working Class 2February 12, 2017 at 12:23 PM

    UKIP-SLAB Continuity Provisional Real Brittanic Majesties Request Front will halt free prescription loving nat si voters tempted at ballot box by bus passes and free degrees courtesy of socially decent jock social democrats. As I said in my post above Theresa May red sea tsunami will overwhelm Bute House with UKIP-SLAB CPRMRF in power on her behalf. Wake up North of Britainshire! Wake up!

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    1. Glasgow Working Class 2.February 12, 2017 at 12:26 PM

      Vote Yes to avoid living in a UKIP/Con semi-fascist state.

      Delete
  7. The GWC2 iimpersonator is on a roll. Must be just back from Nat si Mason's church.

    Still shittin yerself going for the referendum.... Just keep hingin oot weans prams lookin fur votes.

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    1. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    2. The WBP impersonator is on a roll. Must be just back from caressing UKIP-SLAB new Grand Duchy Nutall's hairy bean bag. Helluva way to spend Sunday worship.

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  8. This puts me in a difficult position - I got 2 lots of David Beckham shower gel for Christmas. Now I'll feel dirty whether I use it or not.

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    1. Don't feel bad Bunny. GWC2 and Wee Bairn regularly bathe in each others urine. Usually at the same time.

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    2. Glasgow Working Class 2February 12, 2017 at 5:06 PM

      You talk piss as well as gargling with it.

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    3. How's that militia plan coming along?

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    4. Glasgow Working Class 2February 12, 2017 at 6:51 PM

      Just doing the bayonet practice on obese Jocks followed by killie pies and a few pints.

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    5. Glasgow Working Class 2February 12, 2017 at 7:06 PM

      I once gargled Daisley's dangle juice after JK Spanner milked him dry at STV Fash Bunker HQ. That does NOT mean I liked it. But the cause is the cause. North Britainshire now and forever free from the nat si usurper.

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  9. It is only a sub set but it will be interesting to see if this bears out in forthcoming elections. The first and major peel off of voters from Labour went to the SNP. The second, smaller, peel off in 2016 seemed to go to Ruth No Surrender. If the third peel off goes to the SNP then Ruth's goose is cooked.

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    1. Not really. She's only interested in being the opposition, so the only important thing for her is that she stays ahead of Labour.

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  10. I hav beckham aftershave - to be fair it's worth a knighood

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    Replies
    1. I won a gift box of the stuff at the SNP Burns Supper raffle. I gave it to the branch treasurer, who is at least a bloke.

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    2. How long did it take him to drink it?

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  11. Nice to see that Nazis in Union know they've lost the EU voters so want to ban them from voting in Referendum 2. Still spouting lies about pensions and the 3% deficit to join the EU too.

    No wonder JK Spanner's such a fan. Wonder which cheek of her enormous arse she's got the tattoo?

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  12. I'm not sure they haven't slumped (or at least on their way to that) down to the low-to-mid teens rather than mid-to-high. As a major party, Labour is dead in Scotland.

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  13. Glasgow Working Class 2February 12, 2017 at 9:09 PM

    Who would have thought that left wing Scotland land of the Red Clydesiders and Big Tam Sheridan working class hero would be dominated by the big two Yellow and Blue Tory right wing parties. How sudden history changes.

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    1. Glasgow Working Class 2February 12, 2017 at 10:01 PM

      I was out at Boris's place yesterday (a pound in croydon is worth two in Strathclyde) and gove was there anyhoo they double teamed me and you will be surprised to know wee gove is a surprising package. What they say about Scotchmen is so true.Boris asked me a couple of time if I wanted to swap places but I said I was happy on my knees

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    2. Scotch is an alcoholic drink.

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    3. Glasgow Working Class 2February 12, 2017 at 10:47 PM

      This is true fact not alternatives. I love the Bo-Go tag team approach on me. Ploppy watched as I squealed "nat si jocks" in a Brexit ecstasy...a brextasy if you will. My SLAB tendencies sliding towards UKIP now since I lost my career Westminster seat to Scottish social democrats and started squatting on this site.

      Delete
    4. Wee auntie Ploppy DeceasedFebruary 13, 2017 at 12:52 AM

      You could be an alternative Mel Brooks however you are a fool. Not your fault just demography.

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    5. Wee auntie Ploppy DeceasedFebruary 13, 2017 at 2:34 AM

      When you leave the union you wont be able to join the EU you will be at the back of the queue, you wont have any oil and you wont be able to enter the eurovision contest, no british passport, no team in the commonwealth games , no pound sterling , no royal family, no house of lords, no trident submarines , no nato, you'll have to drive on the right hand side , you'll have to speak Gaellic cos if you don't you won't understand the signposts

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    6. Absolute bloody state of this roaster.

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  14. I see madmentaldogfoodfailure aka Kevin Hague is off on one about Whisky Duty and I know he reads the comments on here.

    In year 2015-16 a mere £2,481,000,000 worth of spirit duty was credited to england. Only £435,000,000 to Scotland and £126,000,000 to Ireland Nord.

    Spirit duty is a tax on production. It's not beyond the wit of man to add up the tax return from each company and allocate it properly but no here's how they do it.

    Methodology
    79. The average weekly consumption volume per person per week on spirits is multiplied by the
    population estimate for each sub-national area to obtain total consumption. Spirits receipts
    are then apportioned in the same proportion as spirits consumption. From 2006 onwards, the
    Family Food publication provides results in calendar years, so this has been converted to financial years. It is assumed that the tax gap and the strength of spirits consumed is the same
    across each area.

    This is the equivalent of HMRC working out North Sea oil revenues based on how much people spent filling up their cars. Total bollocks but dogfooodman spreads his lies to the adoring cultists.

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    1. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    2. Presumably it works the other way as well, we're being credited for all the non-Scottish produced alcohol we consume that is not Whisky based.

      So all the beer, cider etc etc that is produced South of the border, but consumed in Scotland is included in our total.

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    3. "Presumably it works the other way as well" the correct response to that is, I believe, the Scot's double positive..."Aye, right".

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  15. I find it hard to understand how a body in rigor mortis,well on the way to putrifraction in fact,can slump.
    Perhaps there really is life after death or maybe it is just a shift in the underlying political tectonic plates which has caused this apparent movement.

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    1. Glasgow Working Class 2February 13, 2017 at 11:57 AM

      The Nat sis died 19 September 2014 but have returned in another form as defeatists. John Mason believes in the afterlife and he is a Nat si.

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    2. Absolute bloody state of this roaster. A wee reminder of the blogspot subject:

      SNP 56%
      Conservatives 22%
      Labour 10%
      Liberal Democrats 7%
      UKIP 4%
      Greens 2%

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    3. Glasgow Working Class 2February 13, 2017 at 6:37 PM

      Percentages gets me aff. Kim Jung Eck threatening again a referendum. Whits the chance? Gies the percentage if he will or not. He does pull the Knicker elastic.

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    4. Just to reiterate for the hard of thinking:

      SNP 56%
      Conservatives 22%
      Labour 10%
      Liberal Democrats 7%
      UKIP 4%
      Greens 2%

      Delete
  16. Glasgow Working Class 2February 13, 2017 at 9:48 PM

    You Jocko Fash Nat sis are just to thick too understand, this article by the emminent profesor Jill Stephenson in the Scotchman perfectly ilustrates why you will never win and gives the positive case for the union.
    http://www.scotsman.com/news/opinion/jill-stephenson-no-means-no-i-m-not-a-traitor-to-scotland-1-4357497

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Trump's Golden Shower of KippersFebruary 13, 2017 at 9:59 PM

      James Cook ‏@BBCJamesCook 2 hours ago

      "We're totally confident" that the border with Canada is secure says President Trump when asked about Ottawa welcoming refugees.

      Delete
    2. Glasgow Working Class 2February 13, 2017 at 10:06 PM

      I wrapped a copy of the Shitstory Woman's slebbery scribbles round my baldy bean bag and friction-starched my pinhead. And as I worked my little quantum into a Bo-Gove lather I mused on free prescription Jocko nat si social democratic and my SLAB-UKIP hackles got up so I got a photo of Ruth Harrison No Surrender Party and I kinky kissed it until I calmed.

      Delete
    3. Glasgow Working Class 2February 13, 2017 at 10:33 PM

      You may suffer from the Dunning and Kruger effect.

      Delete
  17. Poodle Theresa and her Kipper TrumpetsFebruary 13, 2017 at 9:56 PM

    Éoin ‏@LabourEoin 27 minutes ago

    #Breaking: Tories to close 19 hospitals.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C4k0rDEWEAEStgY.jpg

    ReplyDelete
  18. Glasgow Working Class 2February 13, 2017 at 10:54 PM

    What the jock nat sis cleverly do is distract from their own policy failures and mention Trump, May etc.
    When and I hope soon the Nat sis call the referendum then the spotlight will be entirely on them and their proposed policies for an independent Scotland.
    There will be no hiding place or excuses for the Nat sis.

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    1. Glasgow Working Class 2February 13, 2017 at 11:13 PM

      No Surrender

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    2. Glasgow Working Class 2February 13, 2017 at 11:15 PM

      Kezia to the rescue, federal britain and a new act of union. Labour does the hard yards yet again. Suck it up Fash Nat sis

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    3. Glasgow Working Class 2February 13, 2017 at 11:20 PM

      The two comments above are an admission of stupidity and those who cannot make a comment using their own non de plume. When the Nat sis lose the referendum you will have helped. So carry on idiots.

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    4. Glasgow Working Class 2February 13, 2017 at 11:29 PM

      I just gotten calm. Now I am not calm. Fash nat sis free bus passes and good results are ballot bax con tricks. Fash think because of 10 year good and happy job, jock will fall for separation and self controlling. My baldy bean bag pulsates at these tricks of the hand. My dream is for the waking of Northernmost Britainshire to simply awaken. If UKIP-SLAB must ally then so be it and get Glasgow Working Class council please!!

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    5. Glasgow Working Class 2February 13, 2017 at 11:37 PM

      The Nat si Tartan Tories will be forever known as the free bus Party although they subsidise the bus companies with public money and bus passes are not free. What f,n idiots the Joke Nat sis are. Call the referendum please. Tomorrow.

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    6. Glasgow Working Class 2February 13, 2017 at 11:43 PM

      I'm on my way from happiness to misery today
      I'm on my way from happiness to misery today
      I'm on my way to what I want from this world
      And years from now you'll make it to the next world
      And everything that you receive up yonder
      Is what you gave to me the day I wandered

      I took a right, I took a right turning yesterday
      I took a right, I took a right turning yesterday
      I took the road that brought me to your home town
      I took the bus to streets that I could walk down
      I walked the streets to find the one I'd looked for
      I climbed the stair that led me to your front door

      Delete
  19. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    1. Charles Darwin DeceasedFebruary 13, 2017 at 11:24 PM

      And you suffer from the Dunning and Kruger effect.

      Delete
    2. Charles Darwin DeceasedFebruary 13, 2017 at 11:53 PM

      The comment above is an admission of stupidity and those who cannot make a comment using their own non de plume. When the incompetent tory twats only got one MP you helped. So carry on idiot.

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    3. Charles Darwin DeceasedFebruary 14, 2017 at 12:13 AM

      I suffer from a getting a good Dunging off of Freddie Kruger. He makes me say nat si and spanks me till I type GWC2 or Ploppy and now this!! So many ways for him to show me up as coward; I vote SLAB but lean Kipper. Damn you good governing Fash and your ruddy bedroom tax mitigation tricks!! xxx

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    4. Glasgow Working Class 2February 14, 2017 at 12:39 AM

      you nat sis are just cruel , you are just like the bullies from my childhood who used to call me herman (after herman goering) just because I am fat and wear lederhosen doesn't make me a nat sis

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    5. Glasgow Working Class 2February 14, 2017 at 1:10 AM

      Get youre own effin name fash bhoy, I wasnt bullied as a kid me and all the millwall boys took on all commers

      Delete
  20. Poodle Theresa and her Kipper TrumpetsFebruary 13, 2017 at 11:49 PM

    Éoin ‏@LabourEoin 27 minutes ago

    #Breaking: Tories to close 19 hospitals.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C4k0rDEWEAEStgY.jpg

    ReplyDelete
  21. Hi James,

    still enjoying your articles.
    Good to see your regular commentators have found a new game to play against the spoilers.

    Earned my perk to imagine you enjoying a tasty hot chocolate.
    My imagination has added 3 colours of mini marshmallows.

    Enjoy :D

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  22. Glasgow Working Class 2February 14, 2017 at 1:52 AM

    Look Nat sis please go for the refere en dumb before 2099. I have a two and a tanner bet oan that you will. Even Randolph Scott wants you tae go fur it. C,mon shitebags dae it noo.

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    1. Absolute bloody state of this roaster.

      Delete
  23. Glasgow Working Class 2February 14, 2017 at 3:06 AM

    As the great Katy Perry says I believe in a lot of astrology. I believe in aliens... I look up into the stars and I imagine: 'How self-important are we to think that we are the only life-form?'

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    1. Glasgow Working Class 2February 14, 2017 at 11:31 AM

      We will probably meet the other life forms before you fash hold the referendum.

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    2. And you, for one, welcome the opportunity to kneel before Zod.

      Delete
    3. Glasgow Working Class 2February 14, 2017 at 6:40 PM

      Unlike you Joke Nat sis I do not do the kneelin tae anyone.

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    4. (laughs uncontrollably at the Tories' little helper)

      Delete