The title is an ironic tribute to Kenny "Devo or Death" Farquharson, who ever since the shock of the Leave vote has been tying himself up in knots trying to convince himself that Brexit doesn't need to have any serious consequences, and more specifically that it needn't have the obvious consequence of a second independence referendum. (Wait a minute here, old boy. Independence isn't devo, so it must be...death! It can't...won't...mustn't happen!) First of all he kidded himself that Theresa May cared so much about averting an indyref that she would "triangulate" Brexit in a way that would be acceptable to Nicola Sturgeon. When even he had to admit to himself that was in the realms of fantasy, he then worked himself into a frenzy about an entirely fictional concept known as "the UK single market", which he decided on the basis of zero evidence that Sturgeon must secretly share his obsession with. Now all he's got left is the notion that Sturgeon is somehow deliberately allowing herself to be 'beaten by the clock'. He cites as evidence a BBC interview in which she said exactly the same thing she's been saying for ages - that an indyref is likely, but can be averted if the UK government does a U-turn and seeks a soft Brexit. On the basis of that, Kenny claims to be seeing signs that "Nats" are "beginning" (classic weasel word) to realise that an indyref may not be happening any time soon. Not that any of them are actually saying that, of course, but he can see it in their faces, even though he's not actually looking at their faces.
Now, I'll make a small concession here - it's possible that an early indyref may not happen. The snag for Kenny, though, is that we can say with a very high level of confidence that one of the following WILL happen...
a) The UK will stay in the single market, and free movement of people will be retained.
b) The UK will transfer enormous powers to the Scottish Parliament, including powers that are generally only associated with a sovereign state, to enable Scotland to remain in the single market after the rest of the UK leaves.
c) Genuine Devo Max will be granted as compensation for Hard Brexit occurring without any special status for Scotland within Europe.
d) There will be a second independence referendum by 2020.
Which of those four options do you think is by far the most likely? Yeah, exactly. Somewhere, very deep down, Kenny knows it too. Incidentally, a) can probably still be regarded as the second most likely possibility, albeit a very long distance behind d). All hell will break loose if that happens.
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