As with every other Scottish subsample to have been published by YouGov since the referendum, today's has the SNP in the lead. However, the gap is towards the lower end of the normal range we've become used to...
SNP 34%, Labour 28%, Conservatives 16%, UKIP 11%, Liberal Democrats 9%, Greens 2%.
Doubtless one or two of the minions at McDougall Central will be hoping that this is an early sign that Jackanory Jim's bizarre antics might finally be gaining some traction with the public. I think that's unlikely, though, because Labour's vote share isn't untypically high. Instead there are more UKIP supporters than usual in the sample, plus the Liberal Democrats are doing a little better.
We can probably expect bigger fluctuations from day to day now that YouGov are relying on much smaller Scottish samples - for the first time since heaven-knows-when, the whole Scottish sample has actually had to be upweighted in today's poll (from 139 to 149). In spite of that, SNP identifiers have still been downweighted, albeit by less than usual.
We've now had enough polls this week to make it just about worthwhile updating the Poll of Polls for the first time in 2015. Take the following numbers with an extremely heavy dose of salt, though, because they're based on just four subsamples - three from YouGov and one from Populus. As always, the Opinium poll can't be used because the Scottish subsample wasn't published.
Scottish voting intentions for the May 2015 UK general election :
SNP 39.8% (-4.3)
Labour 27.3% (+0.8)
Conservatives 15.5% (-1.0)
Liberal Democrats 6.8% (+1.0)
Greens 5.5% (+3.8)
UKIP 4.5% (+0.5)
(The Poll of Polls uses the Scottish subsamples from all GB-wide polls that have been conducted entirely within the last seven days and for which datasets have been provided, and also all full-scale Scottish polls that have been conducted at least partly within the last seven days. Full-scale polls are given ten times the weighting of subsamples.)